With the 2017 NFL season right around the corner, fantasy football discussions are beginning to emerge. While everyone is constantly grasping as much information as they can, experts are continuing to throw out their predictions for this upcoming fantasy football season.
While drafting, fantasy players always have the word “value” in mind. Do the production levels of this player make him more valuable than the rest? Is the less talented WR with the more talented QB throwing him the ball more valuable than the more talented WR with the less talented QB throwing him the ball? These are the types of “value” questions fantasy players ask themselves while drafting.
One common issue that fantasy players always come across while drafting is reaching for a guy who’s value doesn’t meet the spot he’s drafted in. This happens when a player is “overvalued.”
Now, let’s take a look at a couple of overvalued players to lookout for while drafting:
Oakland WR Amari Cooper
Although Cooper’s 155 receptions to go along with 2,223 yards is a good 2-year career total, Amari Cooper’s value isn’t as good as it may seem. First off, Michael Crabtree’s presence in the RedZone takes a load of touchdowns away from Amari Cooper, as Cooper was limited to only 11 scores over 32 games. Second, Amari Cooper is a very inconsistent player. Cooper can dominate the field one week, and be forgotten the next.
This constantly happened with Cooper during his career, making him one of the worst options for anybody’s fantasy team. Inconsistency doesn’t get the job done.
New Orleans RB Adrian Peterson
It was a very surprising decision for Peterson to move to the Saints, as they are known to have a pass-heavy offense. Let me throw you an interesting stat: Drew Brees was at least top three in each of the past seven seasons with the Saints in total passing attempts. This means that Adrian Peterson will not get a load of carries like he used to in Minnesota. Furthermore, even if the Saints do run more than the previous years, Mark Ingram is still in Peterson’s way, as he will surely get his share of touches.
In addition, don’t expect Peterson to be involved in the passing game, as Ingram, Travaris Cadet, and third-round pick Alvin Kamara are all skilled in that area.
Tennessee RB DeMarco Murray
Although Murray got 223 more touches than Heisman Trophy winner Derrick Henry last season, it seemed as if Henry’s role kept growing towards the end of the season.
Henry may have proven why he should get all the goal-line touches over Murray. Through the first 10 games, Murray piled up 8 touchdowns on the ground. But, hold on. Murray found the end-zone just once on the ground in the final six games, as Derrick Henry scored four times over the same stretch.
The 247-pound beast made it look so easy. He will continue to interfere with Murray’s numbers. Moreover, the Titans have recently complimented Mariota with first-round pick Corey Davis, and veteran Eric Decker, which significantly upgrades their receiving corps.
This will give Mariota way more opportunities to make plays down the field throwing the ball. On top of that, Mariota now has plenty of RedZone targets to throw the ball to.
Los Angeles (Chargers) WR Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen is looking to come out strong after tearing his ACL in the first game last season against the Chiefs, which put him out for the remainder of the year.
Unlike his previous years, Allen now has a ton of receiving options playing alongside him. First-round pick Mike Williams and RedZone target Hunter Henry will take plenty of points away from Allen. Furthermore, RB Melvin Gordon had a huge bounce-back year after a very disappointing rookie season, totalling 1,416 overall yards, to go along with 12 overall touchdowns. The Chargers will continue giving Gordon his carries, as he will only get better.
With the amount of weapons that the Chargers now possess on the offensive side of the field, Keenan Allen will have a hard time putting up big numbers.